Growth and Decay
- Apply the compound growth and decay formula to real-world problems
- Model population and financial growth/decay over multiple periods
- Calculate depreciated values of assets after a given number of years
- Find original values given compound interest outcomes (reverse problems)
- Interpret and sketch exponential graphs including asymptotes
π Core Concepts
The Multiplier β Why It Works
Before learning formulae, understand the multiplier principle: instead of adding or subtracting a percentage each time, we multiply by a fixed factor. This factor is applied repeatedly, which is the essence of compounding.
Growth multiplier: $1 + \dfrac{r}{100}$ (always > 1)
Decay multiplier: $1 - \dfrac{r}{100}$ (always between 0 and 1)
Exponential Growth
Exponential growth occurs when a quantity increases by the same percentage of its current value each period. Each period the increase is larger in absolute terms because the base is growing β this is why compound interest earns more than simple interest over time.
$A = 5000 \times (1.03)^4 = 5000 \times 1.12551 = Β£5,627.55$
Exponential Decay & Depreciation
Decay occurs when a quantity decreases by the same percentage of its current value each period. The quantity approaches zero but never actually reaches it β this is the defining feature of exponential decay.
Population Growth & Bacterial Doubling
The same compound formula applies to populations and bacteria. Bacterial growth is often given as a doubling time β the time it takes for the population to double. This is a special case where the multiplier is exactly 2 and $r = 100$%.
Half-Life
Half-life is the time taken for a radioactive substance (or drug concentration, etc.) to reduce to half its current amount. It is the decay analogue of doubling time.
Number of half-lives: $n = 24 \div 6 = 4$
$A = 200 \times (0.5)^4 = 200 \times 0.0625 = 12.5$ mg
Comparing Simple and Compound Growth
A key Grade 9 skill is comparing the two models over varying time periods and identifying at what point compound overtakes simple.
| Feature | Simple Interest | Compound Interest |
|---|---|---|
| Formula | $P(1 + \tfrac{rn}{100})$ | $P(1 + \tfrac{r}{100})^n$ |
| Graph shape | Straight line | Exponential curve |
| Interest base | Always original $P$ | Growing total each year |
| After 1 period | Same result | Same result |
| After many periods | Lower total | Higher total (always) |
| Asymptote | None | None (growth) / $y = 0$ (decay) |
Finding the Original Value (Reverse Exponential)
Sometimes the final amount and the multiplier are given and you must find the initial value $P$. This is a reverse calculation β divide the final amount by the multiplier raised to the power $n$.
Finding the Number of Periods (Higher Tier)
At Grade 9, you may need to find $n$ β the number of periods for a quantity to reach a target value. Without logarithms, use trial and improvement (systematic substitution of integer values). With logarithms:
Exponential Graphs β Features and Asymptotes
The graphs of $y = ka^x$ have distinctive features that examiners test. Understanding the shape, intercepts, and behaviour is essential for Grade 9.
Decay ($0 < a < 1$): passes through $(0, k)$, always decreasing, asymptote $y = 0$ as $x \to +\infty$, never touches the $x$-axis.
πΊοΈ Visual Notes
- $A = P(1 + r/100)^n$
- Multiplier $> 1$
- Compound interest
- Population increase
- $A = P(1 - r/100)^n$
- Multiplier between 0 and 1
- Car depreciation
- Radioactive half-life
- Divide $A$ by multiplier$^n$
- Find original price
- Find rate: rearrange formula
- Find $n$: logs or trial/improve
- Asymptote at $y = 0$
- $y$-intercept = initial value
- Growth: $a > 1$, rising curve
- Decay: $0 < a < 1$, falling curve
- Doubling: multiplier = 2
- Half-life: multiplier = 0.5
- Bacterial growth models
- Drug concentration decay
- Multi-step compound problems
- Comparing growth models
- Trial and improvement for $n$
- Sketch and annotate graphs
Growth vs Decay β At a Glance
| Context | Formula | Multiplier | Example Rate | After 10 periods on Β£1,000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% compound growth | $1000 \times 1.05^{10}$ | 1.05 | 5% increase | Β£1,628.89 |
| 5% simple interest | $1000 \times (1 + 0.5)$ | linear | 5% on original | Β£1,500.00 |
| 10% depreciation | $1000 \times 0.90^{10}$ | 0.90 | 10% decrease | Β£348.68 |
| 50% half-life (decay) | $1000 \times 0.5^{10}$ | 0.5 | 50% decrease | Β£0.98 |
Which Formula? β Decision Process
Exponential Graph β Key Features
| Feature | Growth $y = Pa^x$ ($a>1$) | Decay $y = Pa^x$ ($0<a<1$) |
|---|---|---|
| $y$-intercept | $(0, P)$ | $(0, P)$ |
| As $x \to +\infty$ | $y \to +\infty$ | $y \to 0^+$ |
| As $x \to -\infty$ | $y \to 0^+$ | $y \to +\infty$ |
| Asymptote | $y = 0$ (as $x \to -\infty$) | $y = 0$ (as $x \to +\infty$) |
| Shape | Increasing, concave up | Decreasing, concave up |
| Crosses $x$-axis? | Never | Never |
βοΈ Worked Examples
$A = 45000 \times (1.024)^n$ where $n$ is the number of years after 2020.
| $n$ (years) | Calculation | Population | Exceeds 55,000? |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | $45000 \times 1.024^5$ | 50,667 | No |
| 8 | $45000 \times 1.024^8$ | 54,395 | No |
| 9 | $45000 \times 1.024^9$ | 55,700 | Yes β |
Solve for $m$: $m = (0.375)^{1/12}$
$m = 0.375^{0.08\overline{3}} = 0.9124...$ (using calculator: $0.375^{1/12}$)
$240 \times (0.9124)^n \geq 50$
$(0.9124)^n \geq \dfrac{50}{240} = 0.2083\overline{3}$
Check: $n=17$: $240 \times (0.9124)^{17} = 240 \times 0.2153 = 51.7$ g β (above 50)
$n=18$: $240 \times (0.9124)^{18} = 240 \times 0.1964 = 47.1$ g β (below 50)
β Exam Questions
Write down the decimal multiplier for a 7.5% decrease.
Mark scheme: B1 for 0.925
Β£3,200 is invested at a compound interest rate of 3.5% per annum. Calculate the value of the investment after 6 years. Give your answer to the nearest penny.
Multiplier $= 1.035$
$A = 3200 \times (1.035)^6 = 3200 \times 1.22926 = Β£3{,}933.64$
Mark scheme:
M1 for $3200 \times (1.035)^6$ (or sight of multiplier 1.035 used correctly)
A1 for Β£3,933.64
A motorbike is bought for Β£8,750. Its value decreases by 22% in the first year and by 15% each subsequent year. Calculate the value of the motorbike after 4 years. Give your answer to the nearest pound.
After year 1: $8750 \times 0.78 = Β£6{,}825$
After years 2β4 (3 more years at 15%): $6825 \times (0.85)^3 = 6825 \times 0.614125 = Β£4{,}191.40$
Value $= Β£4{,}191$ (nearest pound)
Mark scheme:
M1 for $8750 \times 0.78$ seen (or = 6825)
M1 for multiplying by $(0.85)^3$ (or applying 15% decrease 3 times)
A1 for Β£4,191 (accept Β£4,191 to Β£4,192)
A house was worth Β£185,000 after its value increased by an average of 4.2% per year compound for 5 years. Calculate the original value of the house to the nearest Β£1,000.
Multiplier $= 1.042$
$A = P \times (1.042)^5$
$(1.042)^5 = 1.22918...$
$P = \dfrac{185000}{1.22918} = 150{,}507...$
Original value $\approx Β£151{,}000$ (nearest Β£1,000)
Mark scheme:
M1 for identifying reverse exponential: $P = A \div m^n$
M1 for $(1.042)^5$ evaluated correctly (= 1.2292 or better)
A1 for correct unrounded value (150,507)
A1 for Β£151,000 (or Β£150,000 if correctly rounded to nearest Β£1,000)
A bacterial colony initially contains 500 bacteria. The colony doubles every 2.5 hours. How many bacteria will there be after 10 hours? Give your answer in standard form to 3 significant figures.
Number of doubling periods in 10 hours: $n = 10 \div 2.5 = 4$
$A = 500 \times 2^4 = 500 \times 16 = 8{,}000$
In standard form: $8.00 \times 10^3$
Mark scheme:
M1 for $n = 10 \div 2.5 = 4$ (or equivalent)
M1 for $500 \times 2^4$
A1 for $8000$ or $8.00 \times 10^3$
Amelia invests Β£5,000 in Account A which pays 2% per annum compound interest. Ben invests Β£5,000 in Account B which pays 2.5% per annum simple interest.
(a) Show that after 10 years, Ben's account has more money than Amelia's.
(b) After how many complete years will Amelia's account first have more money than Ben's? Show all your working.
Amelia (compound): $5000 \times (1.02)^{10} = 5000 \times 1.21899 = Β£6{,}094.97$
Ben (simple): $5000 + 5000 \times 0.025 \times 10 = 5000 + 1250 = Β£6{,}250$
Ben: Β£6,250 > Amelia: Β£6,095 β (shown)
Part (b) β Trial and Improvement:
| $n$ years | Amelia (compound) | Ben (simple) | Amelia ahead? |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | $5000 \times 1.02^{20} = Β£7{,}430$ | $5000 + 5000 \times 0.025 \times 20 = Β£7{,}500$ | No |
| 30 | $5000 \times 1.02^{30} = Β£9{,}056$ | $5000 + 3750 \times \frac{30}{10} = Β£8{,}750$ | Yes β |
| 25 | $5000 \times 1.02^{25} = Β£8{,}203$ | $5000 + 3125 = Β£8{,}125$ | Yes β |
| 23 | $5000 \times 1.02^{23} = Β£7{,}874$ | $5000 + 2875 = Β£7{,}875$ | No (equal approx) |
| 24 | $5000 \times 1.02^{24} = Β£8{,}031$ | $5000 + 3000 = Β£8{,}000$ | Yes β |
Mark scheme:
M1 for setting up correct compound expression for Amelia
M1 for correct simple interest expression for Ben
A1 for correct numerical comparison at $n = 10$ [part a]
M1 for systematic trial and improvement comparing both accounts
A1 for identifying the crossover between $n = 23$ and $n = 24$
A1 for 24 years
β Grade 9 Model Answers
Full Annotated Solution β Q6 (6 marks)
Part (a) β 3 marks:
The key is to clearly show both calculations and state the comparison explicitly. A Grade 9 student writes:
"Amelia's account after 10 years: $A = 5000 \times (1.02)^{10}$. Multiplier $= 1.02$ (using $1 + 2/100$). $1.02^{10} = 1.21899$. $A = Β£6{,}094.97$." β This earns M1+A1.
"Ben's account: Simple interest $= 5000 \times 0.025 \times 10 = Β£1{,}250$. Total $= Β£6{,}250$." β This earns M1.
"Β£6,250 > Β£6,094.97, so Ben's account has more money. β" β The explicit comparison earns the final A1.
Part (b) β 3 marks:
M1: Setting up the comparison to solve β even writing "$5000 \times 1.02^n$ vs $5000(1 + 0.025n)$" earns the method mark.
M1: At least 3 correct trials shown in a table or list. Must show values for both accounts to earn this mark β not just one account.
A1: Answer of 24 years with supporting evidence of the crossover (showing $n = 23$ gives Amelia behind and $n = 24$ gives Amelia ahead).
Grade 9 tip: When comparing two models, always show both the year where A is BEHIND and the year where A is AHEAD to prove the crossover. Writing "therefore after 24 complete years, Amelia's account first exceeds Ben's" earns the conclusion mark.
π Revision Sheet
| Term | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Compound growth | % applied to current (growing) amount |
| Compound decay | % applied to current (shrinking) amount |
| Multiplier | Factor applied each period (e.g. 1.05 or 0.87) |
| Depreciation | Reduction in asset value over time |
| Half-life | Time for a quantity to halve |
| Asymptote | Line the graph approaches but never reaches |
Growth: $A = P(1+r/100)^n$
Decay: $A = P(1-r/100)^n$
Original value: $P = A \div (m)^n$
Doubling: $A = P \times 2^n$ ($n$ = number of doublings)
Half-life: $A = P \times (0.5)^n$ ($n$ = number of half-lives)
Find $n$ (logs): $n = \dfrac{\log(A/P)}{\log m}$
Simple interest: $A = P(1 + rn/100)$
- GROWTH = BIGGER multiplier: $1 + r/100 > 1$
- DECAY = SMALLER multiplier: $0 < 1 - r/100 < 1$
- Reverse? DIVIDE by multiplier$^n$
- "Compound" = power: the $n$ goes as an exponent
- Doubling β Γ2 each period: bacteria, populations
- Half-life β Γ0.5 each period: radioactivity
- Asymptote at $y = 0$: decay never hits zero
- $y$-intercept = $P$: always the initial value
- Always write the multiplier explicitly before substituting
- Use brackets around the multiplier in your calculator: $(1.035)^6$
- Round only at the final step β keep full precision throughout
- For "find $n$": show at least two values either side of the answer
- For reverse problems: divide (not subtract) by the multiplier power
- Check decay answers are less than $P$ and growth answers are more
- In comparison questions: always state which is larger and by how much
- State units (Β£, g, years) in your final answer
π Flashcards
Click any card to reveal the answer. Use these to self-test before an exam.
β Common Mistakes
Why marks are lost: The method is fundamentally wrong β this earns 0 marks when compound is specified.
How to avoid it: When you see "compound" in a question, immediately write the multiplier $(1 \pm r/100)$ and raise it to the power $n$. Never multiply rate Γ time when compound is involved.
Why marks are lost: The answer will be larger than $P$, which is impossible for decay β it implies the quantity grew, losing all accuracy marks.
How to avoid it: Decrease β subtract from 1. A 15% decrease β multiplier $= 1 - 0.15 = 0.85$. Always check: is your multiplier less than 1 for decay problems?
Why marks are lost: The final answer will not match the mark scheme's accepted range, losing the accuracy mark (A1) even though the method is correct.
How to avoid it: Keep at least 5 significant figures in all intermediate calculations. Only round your final answer to the precision stated in the question.
Why marks are lost: No method marks for incorrect approach; wrong answer in most cases.
How to avoid it: The correct reverse formula is $P = A \div (m)^n$. This is dividing by the multiplier raised to the power, not subtracting the interest.
Why marks are lost: The question asks for complete years β you must verify whether the condition is met at $n = 17$ and $n = 18$. Giving a decimal answer loses marks.
How to avoid it: After finding the decimal, always check the integer either side. If you need the quantity to exceed a value, round up; if it must stay above a threshold, check both sides.
Why marks are lost: Confusing $x$ and $y$ axes loses the mark; saying the graph "reaches" or "crosses" the asymptote loses the mark.
How to avoid it: The asymptote of a standard exponential decay $y = Pa^x$ is always the horizontal line $y = 0$. The graph approaches but never touches it. For shifted graphs (e.g. $y = 2^x + 3$), the asymptote shifts to $y = 3$.
β Final Checklist
Click each item to mark it as done. Your progress is saved automatically.
- I can write the growth multiplier for any percentage increase
- I can write the decay multiplier for any percentage decrease
- I can apply $A = P(1+r/100)^n$ to compound interest problems
- I can apply $A = P(1-r/100)^n$ to depreciation/decay problems
- I can find the original value using $P = A \div (m)^n$
- I can model bacterial doubling using $A = P \times 2^n$
- I can calculate remaining amount after multiple half-lives
- I can find the minimum number of periods using trial and improvement
- I can compare compound and simple interest over the same period
- I know that compound always eventually overtakes simple for the same rate
- I can identify the asymptote of an exponential graph as $y = 0$
- I can state the $y$-intercept of an exponential graph as the initial value $P$
- I can sketch and label growth vs decay exponential curves correctly
- I know not to round intermediate calculations β only the final answer
- I can solve a multi-step decay problem finding both the rate and the time